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Oregon Governor’s Race Poll Alert: Kotek Holds Narrow Lead

With Support Fading for Johnson, Tina Positioned to Make Further Gains Among Democrats

[Portland, OR] – The Democratic candidate for Governor, Tina Kotek, is holding a two-point lead (40%) over Republican Christine Drazan (38%), according to new polling conducted by GBAO on behalf of the Tina Kotek campaign. Non-affiliated candidate Betsy Johnson lags far behind at 14%, and her support has been steadily dropping since August.

The following are key findings from the poll of 800 likely voters:

  • Tina’s lead is razor-thin. With just three weeks until the election, a two-point lead in a survey with a 3.5 percentage point margin of error is anything but safe.
  • With Betsy Johnson’s support fading, Tina is in a position to make further gains among Democrats. Johnson’s support has fallen to just 10% among Democrats, down from a high of 16%. Though Johnson still garners slightly more votes from Democrats than Republicans, this is an opportunity for Tina to further consolidate Democrats and expand her narrow lead as Democrats see the threat of a red-state takeover.

“Tina Kotek is the only candidate for Governor who will fight for working families, defend our reproductive rights, and stand up to extremism,” said Katie Wertheimer, communications director. “As voters learn that this is a two-way race, Christine Drazan’s right-wing record of supporting abortion bans, sponsoring legislation that could jail abortion providers, campaigning with violent extremists, and opposing environmental protections will be a deal breaker for moderate and swing voters in Oregon.”

Full Polling Memo from GBAO Available HERE.

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